I wrote a standard recap Saturday night and spouted out all the things you generally expect after a loss like the one No. 2 Miami suffered to Louisville the evening prior.
It was the typical op-ed and breakdown regarding what went wrong; out-schemed and out-coached, losing the turnover battle, identity-less football as the Canes abandoned the run once in a 14-0 hole.
All there was left to do was a Sunday morning proofread, hit ‘upload’ and it was on to Stanford week.
Instead, we hit ‘delete’ after going down the rabbit hole with some of the better commentators in the Cane-O-Sphere, fast-realizing a different take and energy were needed.
I’ve covered the Canes for a handful of different sites for the better part of three decades now and the biggest lesson learned—outside of making sure you’re right and not just first—it’s what you cobble together in the wake of a loss and how you put all the broken pieces back together
The biggest compliment ever received from any fans who ever read my nonsense; a sentiment that I hit the nail on the head—saying everything they were feeling in the moment, but weren’t able to articulate.
You fast-learn in this game that it’s easy to throw praise when the wins pile up.
It can even get dangerous at times, when those ugly wins or thrilling comebacks cloud judgment—leaving you less analytical about what went wrong—as a sense of relief becomes the strongest emotion and you’ll worry about the next game’s problems next week as any authentic critiquing goes out the window.
Nick Saban talked up the Miami loss on College GameDay on Saturday morning, in the type of fashion a seven-time national champion would assess the second-ranked team losing to an unranked opponent at home.
“In my opinion, Miami needed to lose, Saban shared. “I used to tell my teams that all the time when we played a game like that—we needed to lose. We need to learn from the things that we are not doing and create the habits to have winning football on a consistent basis.”
In Saban’s economy, the failure and disappointment from any losses were turned into fuel or his team—a tried and true recipe his entire tenure—though it should be noted that not enough of a reaction out of Alabama when losing to Michigan in the 2023 College Football Playoffs is part of what led the legendary coach to hang it up; a sign of where today’s players’ heads are at and where the sport is headed.
It begs the question, how will this Mario Cristobal-led Miami team react to this Louisville setback?
On paper, Saban’s sentiments make sense. No real lessons are learned when forging ahead with a spirit of invincibility and zero repercussions for one’s actions. Do we better-learn from at the speeding ticket, points and a hefty fine—or a slap on the wrist and warning?
Theoretically we’d all rather not go through the fire, but does the message really resonate when we skate by?
WILL THE REAL MIAMI PLEASE STAND UP?
If championship dreams are to come to fruition in Coral Gables this season—or even the coming years—the hope is that this loss to Louisville is a tipping point for a program that’s already danced with the devils too many times this season.
Blowing a 21-7 lead against Notre Dame, winding up tied and needing a late field goal and defensive stand to prevail, 27-24.
Outplaying rival Florida for the better part of three quarters, only to be in a 13-7 game that was nowhere near as close as the score—before a few late grind-it-out drives secured the 26-7 win.
Different but the same in Tallahassee as Miami sat on a 28-3 early fourth quarter lead, only to watch Florida State string together a couple gimmicky drives—going on a 19-0 run—setting up for a third straight onside kick attempt to get the ball back, down four in a game that ended 28-22 when the Canes recovered and ran out the clock.
A win over an arch-rival is always a good day, but a little luster was off that one when Miami struggled to run the ball against a stacked box—as well as a failed opportunity to put a foot on the throat of a rival, as the Canes could’ve strutted out of Doak Campbell on the right end of a statement 42-3 route.
By the time Miami teed it up against Louisville on Friday night, the Canes had played one football game the past 27 days—undeniably rusty due to the ACC’s whack scheduling efforts—but flat nonetheless, which wasn’t acceptable for the second-ranked team in the nation, playing high-stakes football in their own backyard.
Miami’s defense was shell-shocked after two drives; walking up the sidelines talking about seeing things they hadn’t seen on tape—while the Hurricanes inability to contain receiver Chris Bell or running back Issac Brown—doesn’t reflect all that well on the scout team’s efforts to emulate the impact those Cardinals’ offensive stars would have on game day.
The college football world has known for years that Jeff Brohm is a giant-killer and a master-schemer—and with two weeks to game-plan for Miami like it was bowl season and not a mid-October conference, he did just that.
Brohm raised some hell at Purdue before going home to Louisville and he’s upset his share of Top Five teams over the years—so the notion that Miami would be immune to his game-planning would just out-talent the Cardinals; it was short-sighted—yet commonplace.
Vegas saw the Canes as a two-touchdown favorite, while pretty much every Miami vlogger or podcaster had UM rolling in this one.
The talent, the roster, the personnel and the Canes passing the eye test all season—winning big in the trenches out the gate against Notre Dame, while steamrolling a tough Florida defense late; Miami has looked and felt like the real deal.
Conversely, the sample-sizing for Louisville was less-than-impressive; pushing around Eastern Kentucky, James Madison and Bowling Green, before eking out a win over a Pittsburgh team yet to make their dynamic quarterback switch—and outside of that, suffered an overtime loss to Virginia.
This is also why Brohm hung everything he had on this match-up with Miami; the ideal scenario for some Friday night chaos that could to flip the script on their season—and it started with jumping all over a team that has been fast out the gate all fall.
CARDS STAFF OUT-COACHES CANES
Desperation and urgency aren’t always negatives; especially if it leads to an elite strategy and causing one to think outside the box—while a less-suspecting opponent plays it straight and sticks with what’s worked thus far.
The blueprint had Miami in a 14-0 hole before the locals had even found their seats late first quarter, battling that Friday evening South Florida rush hour traffic.
Brohm over-praised Miami’s defense in the media all week; recounting a back-and-forth with Florida coaches about the Hurricanes front four being better than anything they’d seen the SEC in almost half a decade—which proved a sign of things to come; a tell that the Louisville head coach needed to find a way to negate the Hurricanes’ front seven, as his offensive line and quarterback were in a hole if throwing-down on a level playing field.
The tape showed that Miller Moss is a liability when pressured and rattled, so Brohm put together a scheme that got the ball out of his quarterback’s hands at an average of 2.3 seconds on the night; the result being a 26% pressure-rate as Moss fast-delivered the ball—even with Miami at a 58% pass rush win-rate on the night.
The imperfect storm early-on put Miami in a hole that it couldn’t climb out of. Yes, the Canes outscored the Cardinals 21-10 from that point on—even with Carson Beck throwing four interceptions that Louisville didn’t capitalize on.
The game ultimately decided on an early fourth quarter drive in what was a 17-13 game at the time; Louisville going 75 yards on eight plays—Brown rumbling for 20 yards on an early 3rd-and-10 where Miami couldn’t get off the field—and then a 36-yard strike to Bell a few plays later on 3rd-and-3, where he split the Canes’ defense for the house-call, pushing the lead to 24-13.
Signs of life for Miami after Beck’s third pick—Brown popped, fumbling and Zechariah Poyser on the recovery; offensive play caller Shannon Dawson with the end-around where Malachi Toney scampered in from 12 yards out—the freshman receiver with some trickery throwing for the 2-point conversion, as well and making it a three-point ballgame.
Miami’s defense forced the punt and with 3:55 remaining, the Canes went to work—again overcoming penalties which plagued them all night; a 17-yard hook-up with CJ Daniels on 3rd-and-13 after a false start on Elijah Lofton backed Miami up.
Beck to Keelan Marion for 11 yards on second down kept the chains moving; as did an eight-yard pass to Toney on the ensuing 3rd-and-3. From there, it was Jordan Lyle picking up another first down on the ground on a 3rd-and-1, putting Miami at the 33-yard line with :36 remaining and a shot at winning the game, or at worst, settling for a field goal and overtime.
The only thing Miami couldn’t do it what it ultimately did; turning the ball over.
Did Lofton run the wrong route? Yes.
Did Beck bus-roll him to the media? Not really.
Go watch the postgame pressure and how the media pressed on the same question a few different ways when the quarterback initially just tried to move past it—before ultimately getting more detailed.
MIAMI CHOKES AWAY A COMEBACK OPP
Either way, Miami coaches blew it is more ways than one and now this Hurricanes team used its mulligan and has to win out, lest another season fast go down the drain … again.
With two time outs, it wouldn’t have been the worst idea there to settle the team down after the first down—a reminder that at worst you stay in field goal range, tie the game and head to overtime—and at best, you get in the end zone and pull off the comeback.
Lofton hasn’t been much of an answer thus far this season; so getting him in the flat there—even with the right route—it’s at best a five-yard pick-up as he turns out of bounds.
Louisville’s defense knew what was coming here; bringing heat as they knew the hot route was coming—ready to jump any play aimed at the sideline—and they did just that; a complete head-scratcher as to why Dawson didn’t have Toney or Daniels as the hot, going towards the middle of the field and calling a timeout if short of the first down.
To fight back and come up short; it wasn’t as egregious as not taking a knee against Georgia Tech two years back—but it’s hard to not shake this feeling of false bravado and machismo that is in the Cristo-ball DNA.
That same sentiment of not kneeling and instead choosing to run the ball; which led to a trash call by the ACC as Don Chaney was down—the phantom fumble and a few bang-bang plays as the Yellow Jackets miraculously pulled off the comeback—it feels like a bit of that same energy around Miami right now and a stubborn, prideful coaching staff that is going to do it ‘their’ way.
I believe it was one of the Orange Bowl Boys who brought it up; this sentiment that Cristobal and Dawson will continue running delayed draw into the A-gap as Miami should be able to win those individual battles, creating space as ball carriers just barrel ahead—almost as if running off-tackle or outside is in a sense “soft” and not tough-guy football.
Dawson was asked about Miami’s rushing attack—held in check with Florida State stacked the box and now again when Louisville took everything away on the ground—and the energy was a bit too nonchalant for some; an “it is what it is” mentality and belief that the Canes just need to be better at “executing”.
Again, we all know coach-speak is a big part of this sport and the Cristobal plays everything close to the vest—so if there are any changes coming or tweaks being made, that’s certainly not going to be the part of a post-game presser a half hour after Miami just lost a game where this staff was gamed-up and out-coached.
Suffice to say, something will have to give—and if it doesn’t, Miami will have another hiccup, or two, before this season wraps.
It’s been easy to ride this Cristobal train as improvement has been the name of the game each of the past three seasons—taking over that Manny Diaz roster full of off-brand kids and a trash culture and purging the roster in favor of more right-fit Miami guys.
By year three, it was Cam Ward replacing the disaster that was two years of Tyler Van Dyke—and the Hurricanes had the best offense in the nation, coupled with a horrendous defense—which sent Lance Guidry packing in favor of Corey Hetherman, who hit the ground running with his violent defense this fall.
GET BACK TO EARLY-SEASON FORM
Taking out Notre Dame and winning those trenches battles—as well as knocking off South Florida, Florida and Florida State en route to State Champs bragging rights a second-straight season; fans had little to openly question as Miami rode this thing to 5-0 and the second-ranked team in the nation.
Of course the minute a loss comes—against a two-touchdowns underdog, no less—all bets are off and nobody is immune to criticism.
Officially at the halfway point with six remaining, do Cristobal and Dawson effectively double-down on their process—chalking this Louisville loss up to a bad day at the office—or does it serve as an eye-opening moment?
Did Brohm game them up in one evening, where a little early trickery gave him a cushion where the Cards just needed to survive the final three-plus quarters of football—or did this clever head coach expose a formula that other ACC foes can emulate as they will look to upset the Canes when paths cross this season?
Miami’s ground attack has been the driving force this season; a healthy 135 yards out of Mark Fletcher and ChaMar Brown against Notre Dame in the opener—while the duo went for 196 yards and three touchdowns against Florida’s defense weeks later; four scores and closer to 250 yards if a long touchdown run from Brown wasn’t called back on an errant whistle.
Beck wasn’t fully in a game-manager role in either outing; but also wasn’t saddled with needing to go out and play Superman, either—asked to win games with his arms and his legs, opposed to his head.
Louisville taking away the run, while also solid and athletic in coverage—as well as their pass rush; it didn’t just make Miami’s offense one-dimensional—the Canes were virtually non-existent. Outside of Miami’s early aerial assault on the first quarter touchdown drive, it was two field goals and short Toney touchdown run on the turnover.
Toney’s big 61-yard late second quarter game; got Miami to the nine-yard line in a 14-7 ballgame—the Canes settling for three after netting zero yards on the next three plays.
Later in the third quarter with a shot to make it a tie game, another drive stalled just outside the red zone—in this case, another false start that turned short yardage into a 3rd-and-7—undisciplined penalties not just a problem, but a full-blown epidemic for Miami at this rate.
Florida State going on a 19-0 late run in the fourth quarter weeks back was bad enough, but everything was made worse when Miami finished the game 13 penalties for 114 yards; a season worst after nine penalties or 69 yards in the route over South Florida.
With two weeks to prepare and clean-up this mess, Miami instead got dinged nine times for 67 yards against Louisville—while the timing of these setbacks made matters even worse.
Down 7-0 after the opening drive—made worse when Miami’s defense was caught off-guard by a fake field goal everyone knew was coming, after Brohm was so aggressive out the gate—the Canes turned a would-be 3rd-and-5 into a 3rd-and-20 when Francis Mauigoa was baited into an unsportsmanlike call on the second offensive play from scrimmage.
The gaffe flipped the field as Cardinals took over on the Canes 45-yard line and four plays later, Bell went for 35 yards—a brilliant play call that momentally jammed up two Miami defenders, springing the gifted receiver into space and turning up the sideline to the end zone for the 14-0 lead.
Toney got hit with an unsportsmanlike call on an ensuing drive, turning 2nd-and-6 into 1st-and-13. The following drive it was Markel Bell putting Miami in a 1st-and-15.
There were a handful of horseshit calls that went against the Canes; the no-call on blatant pass interference where Toney as taken out on Beck’s first pick—as well as the phantom fair catch by the freshman phenom where he might’ve sprung the return for a score—but it’s tough to harp on any of this when Miami just made mistake after mistake.
Beck had opportunities to take the check-down or to put a little more on his passes on those first two picks—Miami’s defense holding Louisville to 24 points on offense and that not being enough to win the game?
For context, last year’s Hurricanes gave up 45 points and 448 total yards to the Cardinals—and won—putting up 52 points and 538 total yards.
Fact remains Miami lost this game a dozen different ways, yet only fell by three points—on Beck’s worst-ever performance—but there’s little solace to take in fighting back or hanging tough as the notion that Miami was exposed is too hard to shake right now.
CRISTOBAL’S EVER-GROWING PROCESS
I’ve been a Cristobal supporter since the get-go, as five wrong-fit coaches in a row—since Butch Davis moved-on—has been program-crushing.
No disrespect to Mark Richt, who helped rebuild the foundation—but he was too little, too late as a head coach on the wrong side of his career arc, having just spent 15 years at Georgia, in the meat-grinder that is the SEC.
After almost decades of irrelevance for Miami—and so many coaching whiffs–Cristobal felt like the only answer.
A guy who cut his teeth at Alabama under Saban and who had some of his own success during a four-year run at Oregon; if Cristobal could build something in Coral Gables—this was a dream job and final stop—the Canes finally hanging on to winner, as all the Decades Of Dominance era coaches bailed for the NFL after success with Miami.
Cristobal’s recruiting efforts are unparalleled and he’s a hard-nosed culture guy that is building the Canes to look like an SEC program—and it’s already working. Whether it a college football commentator like Josh Pate, or other outsiders who have been around practice—they’re all talking about how Miami absolutely looks the part, which hasn’t been the case in forever.
Incremental progress after turning over a brutally-broken roster Manny Diaz left behind; seemingly completing the puzzle here year four after bringing in Corey Hetherman to revamp the defense—it was smooth sailing out the gate to start this season; getting to 5-0 and climbing to the No. 2 spot behind Ohio State—some openly asking if Miami was the best team in the nation, due to beating three good ranked teams.
We were cruising at an altitude of 40,000-feet—destination in sight—and then Miami hit some serious turbulence … now looking to Captain Mario to maintain control of this aircraft.
What do passengers need in the moment more than anything else? A calm and cool pilot to explain what’s going on—telling passengers to hang in there as he’s going to get them out of these conditions and back to friendlier skies.
Unfortunately for Miami, Captain Mario’s track record has been spotty the past few years—albeit not all by his own doing, as his aircraft and equipment weren’t up to par. This is the first season Cristobal truly has a well-oiled machine in his favor, even if history isn’t.
PERCEPTION IS REALITY … FOR NOW
Miami went 3-10 in November and through the post-season since Cristobal took over the Hurricanes—so this whole late-season skid and inability to close strong isn’t some myth; it’s reality and why so many are fast to lose hope—be it fans, rivals or critics in the media.
Until you prove you can actually do it, you’re relying on theory, hope and best-case scenarios playing out.
No. 9 Miami face Stanford on Saturday night at HardRock—and rolling in on the heels of a rough loss, now facing a lesser ACC foe—you can all but guarantee the 67,000+ that the Canes have been packing in for him game thus far this year; that won’t be the case this go-around.
There won’t be that “asylum” that Cristobal called for against Florida, as some hope was understandably lost last weekend when fans showed out for Louisville—so the Canes will have to earn back the love by delivering the goods, getting back on the horse and winning some football games in impressive fashion.
The Cardinal is not a very good football team; as evidenced by the current -29.5 spread—year-two in the ACC and traveling 5,000 round trip miles to take on the Hurricanes; this is a get-your-mojo-back showdown in every sense of the word.
Stanford’s secondary is less than impressive, their offense is banged up and Miami should be able to dominate if bringing their A-game—while even their C-game should deliver an uglier, closer win—which in itself would feel like a loss for a team that needs to re-establish its identity.
Miami was ill-prepared for Louisville last week, which is why all eyes are on preparation and how these Canes show up this week—especially Beck; whose body language, energy and demeanor were all a hot mess en route to his worst-ever day as a college quarterback.
Beck went through the ringer last year at Georgia; a rough season where his offensive line was suspect, his running backs were ranked 202nd in the nation and his receivers led the NCAA in dropped balls.
His transfer to Miami was TMZ-like in the sports news cycle; all the chatter about an influencer girlfriend, a monster payday, a stolen Lamborghini and his extracurricular activities by way of his social media DM efforts—and it all took a toll on the kid; first seen post-game after being Notre Dame and exhaling, like the weight of the world was off his shoulders.
The feel-good narrative lasted a few weeks as he lit up Bethune-Cookman and South Florida—but a lesser outing against Florida brought out all the critics … which subsided after a four-touchdown performance at Florida State weeks later; though the Canes letting the Noles back in late became the bigger storyline into the bye week.
Louisville was supposed to be a coming-out party for Miami; a chance to show the Canes could play a full game, close strong, deliver after the bye and handle prosperity.
Instead, a wheels-off moment that leaves coaches and players at a cross road—one where they prove they’re who they think they are, or where they become the team that haters, outsiders and critics expect them to revert to.
Did the Cardinals expose the Hurricanes, or did a good football team simply drop their guard, play a bad game and channel it into fuel, as the former Alabama head coach suggested that good teams down when they have rough outings and play down in games they’re supposed to win?
We’ll find out soon enough, as anything but a crisp, clean, dominant outing against Stanford—to get this terrible taste out of a fan base’s mouth—will leave these Canes with more questions than answers, gearing up for the next challenge and hoping they are ready to overcome it.
Christian Bello has been covering University of Miami athletics since the mid-nineties. Getting his start with CanesTime, he eventually launched allCanesBlog—which led to a featured columnist stint withBleacherReport. He’s since rolled out the unfiltered, ItsAUThing.comwhere he’ll use his spare time to put decades of U-related knowledge to use for those who care to read. When he’s not writing about ‘The U’, Bello is a brand storyteller for some exciting companies and individuals—as well as a guitarist and songwriter for his Miami-bred band Company Jones, who released their debut album “The Glow” in 2021. Hit him on Twitter for all things U-related @ItsAUThingBLOG.
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